WSG Swarovski Tirol
Grazer AK
WSG Swarovski Tirol – Grazer AK
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.21
- Over 2.5 goals
- 48 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards WSG Swarovski Tirol at home (40 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for WSG Swarovski Tirol and 1.21 for Grazer AK. Bookmakers say the same thing: 38 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, WSG Swarovski Tirol took 7 points and Grazer AK 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for WSG Swarovski Tirol, 2 draws, 2 wins for Grazer AK. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1WSG Swarovski Tirol | 2.45 | 38 % | -2.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -0.4 % |
| 2Grazer AK | 2.70 | 35 % | -15.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
WSG Swarovski Tirol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Grazer AK
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- WSG Swarovski Tirol
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Grazer AK
- Grazer AK4-0WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-5Grazer AK
- WSG Swarovski Tirol2-0Grazer AK
- Grazer AK1-1WSG Swarovski Tirol
- WSG Swarovski Tirol1-1Grazer AK
Frequently asked questions
Who will win WSG Swarovski Tirol – Grazer AK?
Our model gives 1 · WSG Swarovski Tirol a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: WSG Swarovski Tirol win 40 %, draw 29 %, Grazer AK win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for WSG Swarovski Tirol – Grazer AK?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.