Genoa
1-1
Frosinone
Genoa – Frosinone
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.07 – 1.56
The short version
Final score: Genoa 1-1 Frosinone. The model predicted a win for Frosinone (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.07 goals for Genoa and 1.56 for Frosinone. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 30 %. Over their last five matches, Genoa took 3 points and Frosinone 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Genoa, 1 draw, 2 wins for Frosinone. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Genoa | 2.27 | 41 % | -38.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 29 % | -6.5 % |
| 2Frosinone | 3.10 | 30 % | +37.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Genoa
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Frosinone
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Genoa
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Frosinone
- Genoa1-1Frosinone
- Frosinone2-1Genoa
- Frosinone3-2Genoa
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Genoa – Frosinone?
Final score: Genoa 1-1 Frosinone. The model predicted a win for Frosinone (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Genoa – Frosinone?
Our model gives 2 · Frosinone a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Genoa win 27 %, draw 29 %, Frosinone win 44 %.