TSV Hartberg
Wolfsberger
TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.62 – 1.13
- Over 2.5 goals
- 52 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards TSV Hartberg at home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.62 goals for TSV Hartberg and 1.13 for Wolfsberger. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, TSV Hartberg took 8 points and Wolfsberger no points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for TSV Hartberg, 1 draw, 1 win for Wolfsberger. Over 2.5 goals: 52 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1TSV Hartberg | 2.15 | 43 % | -1.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.50 | 27 % | -5.1 % |
| 2Wolfsberger | 3.10 | 30 % | -16.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
TSV Hartberg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Wolfsberger
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- TSV Hartberg
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Wolfsberger
- Wolfsberger1-2TSV Hartberg
- TSV Hartberg2-2Wolfsberger
- TSV Hartberg0-3Wolfsberger
- Wolfsberger2-3TSV Hartberg
- TSV Hartberg2-0Wolfsberger
Frequently asked questions
Who will win TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger?
Our model gives 1 · TSV Hartberg a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: TSV Hartberg win 46 %, draw 27 %, Wolfsberger win 27 %.
What is the most likely score for TSV Hartberg – Wolfsberger?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.