Predictions are closed for this match.
Vicenza
03:00 PM
Sep 12
Juve Stabia
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Vicenza | 1.88 | 50 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.42 | 27 % | +4.4 % |
| 2Juve Stabia | 4.15 | 23 % | +7.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Vicenza
Juve Stabia
| Vicenza | Form and statistics | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| 1484 | Elo | 1451 |
| 1.29 | Goals scored / match | 0.90 |
| 1.86 | Goals conceded / match | 1.60 |
| 11.8 | Shots / match | 12.7 |
| 29 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 6 | Rest days | 6 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Vicenza a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Vicenza win 44 %, draw 30 %, Juve Stabia win 26 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 47 %, and both teams scoring at 51 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.88 for Vicenza, 3.42 for the draw, 4.15 for Juve Stabia.
Kick-off is scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 03:00 PM (Serie B), at Romeo Menti di Vicenza.
The model leans towards Vicenza at home (44 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.46 goals for Vicenza and 1.10 for Juve Stabia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Vicenza took 5 points and Juve Stabia 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 51 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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