Aspmyra Stadion
Bodo/Glimt
Vålerenga
Bodo/Glimt – Vålerenga
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 86 %
- Most likely score
- 3-08 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.73 – 0.90
- Over 2.5 goals
- 84 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Bodo/Glimt at home (86 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.73 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 0.90 for Vålerenga. Bookmakers say the same thing: 82 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Bodo/Glimt took 9 points and Vålerenga 5 points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for Bodo/Glimt, 0 draws, 1 win for Vålerenga. Over 2.5 goals: 84 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bodo/Glimt | 1.14 | 82 % | -2.4 % |
| XDraw | 9.00 | 10 % | -13.2 % |
| 2Vålerenga | 12.00 | 8 % | -42.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bodo/Glimt
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Vålerenga
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- Bodo/Glimt
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Vålerenga
- Vålerenga1-2Bodo/Glimt
- Vålerenga3-1Bodo/Glimt
- Bodo/Glimt7-2Vålerenga
- Bodo/Glimt4-2Vålerenga
- Vålerenga1-3Bodo/Glimt
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Bodo/Glimt – Vålerenga?
Our model gives 1 · Bodo/Glimt a 86 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bodo/Glimt win 86 %, draw 10 %, Vålerenga win 5 %.
What is the most likely score for Bodo/Glimt – Vålerenga?
The most likely score is 3-0, at 8 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.