Sudtirol
1-1
Modena
Sudtirol – Modena
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.11 – 1.24
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sudtirol 1-1 Modena. The model predicted a win for Modena (37 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.11 goals for Sudtirol and 1.24 for Modena. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, Sudtirol took 9 points and Modena 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sudtirol, 3 draws, 1 win for Modena. Over 2.5 goals: 42 %. Both teams to score: 48 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sudtirol | 3.65 | 26 % | +15.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.10 | 30 % | -1.8 % |
| 2Modena | 2.10 | 44 % | -22.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sudtirol
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Modena
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sudtirol
- 3 draws
- 1 win
- Modena
- Sudtirol1-1Modena
- Modena0-0Sudtirol
- Modena0-0Sudtirol
- Sudtirol2-1Modena
- Modena1-0Sudtirol
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sudtirol – Modena?
Final score: Sudtirol 1-1 Modena. The model predicted a win for Modena (37 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sudtirol – Modena?
Our model gives 2 · Modena a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sudtirol win 32 %, draw 32 %, Modena win 37 %.