Antwerp
Royal Charleroi SC
Antwerp – Royal Charleroi SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.20 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 57 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Royal Charleroi SC away from home (46 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.20 goals for Antwerp and 1.64 for Royal Charleroi SC. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 52 %. Over their last five matches, Antwerp took no points and Royal Charleroi SC 12 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Antwerp, 1 draw, 4 wins for Royal Charleroi SC. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Antwerp | 3.90 | 24 % | +4.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +5.7 % |
| 2Royal Charleroi SC | 1.80 | 52 % | -16.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Antwerp
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Royal Charleroi SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Antwerp
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Royal Charleroi SC
- Antwerp0-1Royal Charleroi SC
- Royal Charleroi SC2-1Antwerp
- Antwerp0-2Royal Charleroi SC
- Royal Charleroi SC1-1Antwerp
- Antwerp1-2Royal Charleroi SC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Antwerp – Royal Charleroi SC?
Our model gives 2 · Royal Charleroi SC a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Antwerp win 27 %, draw 27 %, Royal Charleroi SC win 46 %.
What is the most likely score for Antwerp – Royal Charleroi SC?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.