Racing Santander
2-1
Alavés
Racing Santander – Alavés
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 2-18 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Racing Santander 2-1 Alavés. The model predicted a win for Racing Santander (38 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.45 goals for Racing Santander and 1.46 for Alavés. Bookmakers say the same thing: 36 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Racing Santander took 7 points and Alavés 10 points. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Racing Santander | 2.65 | 36 % | +1.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | -6.4 % |
| 2Alavés | 2.65 | 36 % | -8.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Racing Santander
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Alavés
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Racing Santander – Alavés?
Final score: Racing Santander 2-1 Alavés. The model predicted a win for Racing Santander (38 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Racing Santander – Alavés?
Our model gives 1 · Racing Santander a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Racing Santander win 38 %, draw 27 %, Alavés win 35 %.