BK Häcken
Degerfors IF
BK Häcken – Degerfors IF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 67 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.14 – 0.83
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards BK Häcken at home (67 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.14 goals for BK Häcken and 0.83 for Degerfors IF. Bookmakers say the same thing: 67 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, BK Häcken took 11 points and Degerfors IF 4 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for BK Häcken, 2 draws, 2 wins for Degerfors IF. Over 2.5 goals: 57 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1BK Häcken | 1.40 | 67 % | -5.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.90 | 19 % | -4.6 % |
| 2Degerfors IF | 6.50 | 14 % | -14.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
BK Häcken
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Degerfors IF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- BK Häcken
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Degerfors IF
- Degerfors IF1-1BK Häcken
- Degerfors IF0-0BK Häcken
- BK Häcken3-4Degerfors IF
- Degerfors IF1-0BK Häcken
- BK Häcken6-1Degerfors IF
Frequently asked questions
Who will win BK Häcken – Degerfors IF?
Our model gives 1 · BK Häcken a 67 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: BK Häcken win 67 %, draw 19 %, Degerfors IF win 13 %.
What is the most likely score for BK Häcken – Degerfors IF?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.