Cremonese
Juve Stabia
Cremonese – Juve Stabia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.36 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 49 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Cremonese at home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.36 goals for Cremonese and 1.07 for Juve Stabia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 50 %. Over their last five matches, Cremonese took 6 points and Juve Stabia 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Cremonese, 1 draw, 1 win for Juve Stabia. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cremonese | 1.86 | 50 % | -16.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | +0.9 % |
| 2Juve Stabia | 4.20 | 22 % | +8.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cremonese
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Juve Stabia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Cremonese
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Juve Stabia
- Cremonese3-0Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia2-1Cremonese
- Cremonese1-1Juve Stabia
- Juve Stabia1-2Cremonese
- Juve Stabia1-2Cremonese
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cremonese – Juve Stabia?
Our model gives 1 · Cremonese a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cremonese win 45 %, draw 29 %, Juve Stabia win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Cremonese – Juve Stabia?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.