Sochaux
1-0
Nantes
Sochaux – Nantes
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 0-112 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 1.39
The short version
Final score: Sochaux 1-0 Nantes. The model predicted a win for Nantes (46 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.02 goals for Sochaux and 1.39 for Nantes. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Sochaux took 6 points and Nantes 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sochaux | 3.35 | 28 % | -8.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.27 | 28 % | -11.4 % |
| 2Nantes | 2.10 | 44 % | -4.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sochaux
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nantes
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sochaux – Nantes?
Final score: Sochaux 1-0 Nantes. The model predicted a win for Nantes (46 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Sochaux – Nantes?
Our model gives 2 · Nantes a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sochaux win 27 %, draw 27 %, Nantes win 46 %.