Dijon FCO
Rodez Aveyron
Dijon FCO – Rodez Aveyron
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-09 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.45 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Dijon FCO at home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.45 goals for Dijon FCO and 1.25 for Rodez Aveyron. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Dijon FCO took 10 points and Rodez Aveyron no points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Dijon FCO, 1 draw, 1 win for Rodez Aveyron. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dijon FCO | 2.00 | 47 % | -17.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +6.8 % |
| 2Rodez Aveyron | 3.30 | 28 % | +1.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Dijon FCO
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Rodez Aveyron
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Dijon FCO
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Rodez Aveyron
- Dijon FCO1-0Rodez Aveyron
- Rodez Aveyron2-1Dijon FCO
- Rodez Aveyron0-2Dijon FCO
- Dijon FCO1-1Rodez Aveyron
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Dijon FCO – Rodez Aveyron?
Our model gives 1 · Dijon FCO a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dijon FCO win 41 %, draw 28 %, Rodez Aveyron win 31 %.
What is the most likely score for Dijon FCO – Rodez Aveyron?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.