Córdoba
Eibar
Córdoba – Eibar
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.33 – 1.25
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 53 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Córdoba at home (39 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.33 goals for Córdoba and 1.25 for Eibar. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Córdoba took 9 points and Eibar 10 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Córdoba, 1 draw, 2 wins for Eibar. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Córdoba | 2.20 | 43 % | -14.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 28 % | -5.4 % |
| 2Eibar | 3.25 | 29 % | +5.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Córdoba
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Eibar
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Córdoba
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Eibar
- Eibar2-0Córdoba
- Córdoba0-0Eibar
- Eibar4-1Córdoba
- Córdoba2-1Eibar
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Córdoba – Eibar?
Our model gives 1 · Córdoba a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Córdoba win 39 %, draw 29 %, Eibar win 32 %.
What is the most likely score for Córdoba – Eibar?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.