1. FC Magdeburg
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 23, 03:04 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 52 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.84 – 1.20
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards 1. FC Magdeburg at home (52 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.84 goals for 1. FC Magdeburg and 1.20 for Karlsruher SC. Bookmakers say the same thing: 53 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, 1. FC Magdeburg took 7 points and Karlsruher SC 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for 1. FC Magdeburg, 2 draws, 3 wins for Karlsruher SC. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11. FC Magdeburg | 1.76 | 53 % | -8.6 % |
| XDraw | 4.10 | 23 % | +0.2 % |
| 2Karlsruher SC | 3.85 | 24 % | -9.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
1. FC Magdeburg
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Karlsruher SC
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- 1. FC Magdeburg
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Karlsruher SC
- 1. FC Magdeburg1-3Karlsruher SC
- Karlsruher SC1-01. FC Magdeburg
- Karlsruher SC3-11. FC Magdeburg
- 1. FC Magdeburg2-2Karlsruher SC
- 1. FC Magdeburg1-1Karlsruher SC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win 1. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC?
Our model gives 1 · 1. FC Magdeburg a 52 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: 1. FC Magdeburg win 52 %, draw 24 %, Karlsruher SC win 24 %.
What is the most likely score for 1. FC Magdeburg – Karlsruher SC?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.