Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Shanghai Port
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Shanghai Port
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 07:00 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.38 – 1.53
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56 %
- Both teams to score
- 59 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Shanghai Port away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.38 goals for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger and 1.53 for Shanghai Port. Bookmakers say the same thing: 40 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Tianjin Jinmen Tiger took 13 points and Shanghai Port 11 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger, 2 draws, 3 wins for Shanghai Port. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 59 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 2.80 | 33 % | -9.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -6.8 % |
| 2Shanghai Port | 2.30 | 40 % | -6.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Shanghai Port
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
- 2 draws
- 3 wins
- Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port1-1Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
- Shanghai Port1-1Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger1-4Shanghai Port
- Shanghai Port5-0Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0-3Shanghai Port
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Shanghai Port?
Our model gives 2 · Shanghai Port a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win 32 %, draw 27 %, Shanghai Port win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger – Shanghai Port?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.