Bolton Wanderers
1-0
Cardiff City
Bolton Wanderers – Cardiff City
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 45 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.53 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City. The model predicted a win for Bolton Wanderers (45 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.53 goals for Bolton Wanderers and 1.19 for Cardiff City. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 34 %. Over their last five matches, Bolton Wanderers took 1 point and Cardiff City 2 points. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bolton Wanderers | 2.79 | 34 % | +26.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 26 % | +1.8 % |
| 2Cardiff City | 2.33 | 41 % | -36.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bolton Wanderers
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cardiff City
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bolton Wanderers – Cardiff City?
Final score: Bolton Wanderers 1-0 Cardiff City. The model predicted a win for Bolton Wanderers (45 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Bolton Wanderers – Cardiff City?
Our model gives 1 · Bolton Wanderers a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bolton Wanderers win 45 %, draw 28 %, Cardiff City win 27 %.