Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro – Remo
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 07:00 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 63 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.04 – 0.97
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Cruzeiro at home (63 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.04 goals for Cruzeiro and 0.97 for Remo. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 69 %. Over their last five matches, Cruzeiro took 9 points and Remo 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Cruzeiro, 0 draws, 2 wins for Remo. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Cruzeiro | 1.35 | 69 % | -14.6 % |
| XDraw | 5.25 | 18 % | +9.0 % |
| 2Remo | 7.00 | 13 % | +11.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Cruzeiro
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Remo
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Cruzeiro
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Remo
- Remo0-1Cruzeiro
- Cruzeiro1-3Remo
- Remo1-0Cruzeiro
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Cruzeiro – Remo?
Our model gives 1 · Cruzeiro a 63 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Cruzeiro win 63 %, draw 21 %, Remo win 16 %.
What is the most likely score for Cruzeiro – Remo?
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.