VfL Bochum
1-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
VfL Bochum – SpVgg Greuther Fürth
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:44 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.63 – 1.22
The short version
Final score: VfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The model predicted a win for VfL Bochum (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.63 goals for VfL Bochum and 1.22 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 55 %. Over their last five matches, VfL Bochum took 9 points and SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for VfL Bochum, 0 draws, 0 wins for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfL Bochum | 1.72 | 55 % | -18.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 24 % | +2.0 % |
| 2SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 4.32 | 22 % | +16.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfL Bochum
- Last 5 matches
- At home
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- VfL Bochum
- 0 draws
- 0 wins
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth1-2VfL Bochum
- VfL Bochum2-1SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth0-3VfL Bochum
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of VfL Bochum – SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Final score: VfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The model predicted a win for VfL Bochum (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win VfL Bochum – SpVgg Greuther Fürth?
Our model gives 1 · VfL Bochum a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfL Bochum win 47 %, draw 26 %, SpVgg Greuther Fürth win 27 %.