Ipswich Town
Nottingham Forest
Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.22 – 1.57
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53 %
- Both teams to score
- 56 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Nottingham Forest away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.22 goals for Ipswich Town and 1.57 for Nottingham Forest. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Ipswich Town took 6 points and Nottingham Forest 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Ipswich Town, 1 draw, 2 wins for Nottingham Forest. Over 2.5 goals: 53 %. Both teams to score: 56 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Ipswich Town | 3.23 | 30 % | -11.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | +6.9 % |
| 2Nottingham Forest | 2.23 | 43 % | -7.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Ipswich Town
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nottingham Forest
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Ipswich Town
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Nottingham Forest
- Ipswich Town2-4Nottingham Forest
- Nottingham Forest1-1Ipswich Town
- Nottingham Forest1-0Ipswich Town
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest?
Our model gives 2 · Nottingham Forest a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Ipswich Town win 27 %, draw 31 %, Nottingham Forest win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for Ipswich Town – Nottingham Forest?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.