KV Kortrijk
KV Mechelen
KV Kortrijk – KV Mechelen
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 38 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.24 – 1.43
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards KV Mechelen away from home (38 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.24 goals for KV Kortrijk and 1.43 for KV Mechelen. Bookmakers say the same thing: 35 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, KV Kortrijk took 3 points and KV Mechelen 5 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for KV Kortrijk, 0 draws, 4 wins for KV Mechelen. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1KV Kortrijk | 2.50 | 37 % | -15.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.40 | 27 % | -4.5 % |
| 2KV Mechelen | 2.65 | 35 % | +0.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
KV Kortrijk
- Last 5 matches
- At home
KV Mechelen
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- KV Kortrijk
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- KV Mechelen
- KV Kortrijk3-1KV Mechelen
- KV Mechelen3-0KV Kortrijk
- KV Mechelen3-0KV Kortrijk
- KV Kortrijk0-3KV Mechelen
- KV Mechelen3-2KV Kortrijk
Frequently asked questions
Who will win KV Kortrijk – KV Mechelen?
Our model gives 2 · KV Mechelen a 38 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: KV Kortrijk win 34 %, draw 28 %, KV Mechelen win 38 %.
What is the most likely score for KV Kortrijk – KV Mechelen?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.