Brest
Nice
Brest – Nice
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.56 – 1.12
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Brest at home (47 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.56 goals for Brest and 1.12 for Nice. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Brest took 7 points and Nice 7 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Brest, 2 draws, 2 wins for Nice. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Brest | 2.23 | 43 % | +4.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 28 % | -3.7 % |
| 2Nice | 3.23 | 30 % | -19.4 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Brest
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Nice
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Brest
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Nice
- Nice2-2Brest
- Brest4-1Nice
- Nice6-0Brest
- Brest0-1Nice
- Brest0-0Nice
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Brest – Nice?
Our model gives 1 · Brest a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Brest win 47 %, draw 28 %, Nice win 25 %.
What is the most likely score for Brest – Nice?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.