VfB Stuttgart
Borussia Mönchengladbach
VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Mönchengladbach
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 70 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.45 – 1.01
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards VfB Stuttgart at home (70 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.45 goals for VfB Stuttgart and 1.01 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Bookmakers say the same thing: 68 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, VfB Stuttgart took 7 points and Borussia Mönchengladbach no points. In recent meetings: 4 wins for VfB Stuttgart, 0 draws, 1 win for Borussia Mönchengladbach. Over 2.5 goals: 67 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1VfB Stuttgart | 1.37 | 68 % | -4.3 % |
| XDraw | 5.13 | 18 % | -6.9 % |
| 2Borussia Mönchengladbach | 6.75 | 14 % | -19.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
VfB Stuttgart
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 4 wins
- VfB Stuttgart
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach0-3VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart1-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
- VfB Stuttgart1-2Borussia Mönchengladbach
- Borussia Mönchengladbach1-3VfB Stuttgart
- VfB Stuttgart4-0Borussia Mönchengladbach
Frequently asked questions
Who will win VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model gives 1 · VfB Stuttgart a 70 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: VfB Stuttgart win 70 %, draw 18 %, Borussia Mönchengladbach win 12 %.
What is the most likely score for VfB Stuttgart – Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.