Al Qadsiah
Al Hilal
Al Qadsiah – Al Hilal
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 41 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 1.73
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63 %
- Both teams to score
- 65 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Al Hilal away from home (41 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.54 goals for Al Qadsiah and 1.73 for Al Hilal. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Al Qadsiah took 13 points and Al Hilal 15 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Al Qadsiah, 2 draws, 1 win for Al Hilal. Over 2.5 goals: 63 %. Both teams to score: 65 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Qadsiah | 3.20 | 29 % | +5.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.95 | 23 % | +1.7 % |
| 2Al Hilal | 1.95 | 48 % | -19.7 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Al Qadsiah
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Hilal
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Al Qadsiah
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- Al Hilal
- Al Qadsiah2-2Al Hilal
- Al Hilal2-2Al Qadsiah
- Al Hilal2-0Al Qadsiah
- Al Qadsiah2-1Al Hilal
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Al Qadsiah – Al Hilal?
Our model gives 2 · Al Hilal a 41 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Qadsiah win 33 %, draw 26 %, Al Hilal win 41 %.
What is the most likely score for Al Qadsiah – Al Hilal?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.