Go Ahead Eagles
Telstar
Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.81 – 1.39
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62 %
- Both teams to score
- 63 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Go Ahead Eagles at home (48 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.81 goals for Go Ahead Eagles and 1.39 for Telstar. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 59 %. Over their last five matches, Go Ahead Eagles took 4 points and Telstar 2 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Go Ahead Eagles, 1 draw, 2 wins for Telstar. Over 2.5 goals: 62 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Go Ahead Eagles | 1.58 | 59 % | -23.7 % |
| XDraw | 4.20 | 22 % | +6.0 % |
| 2Telstar | 5.00 | 19 % | +32.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Go Ahead Eagles
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Telstar
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Go Ahead Eagles
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Telstar
- Go Ahead Eagles1-1Telstar
- Telstar2-1Go Ahead Eagles
- Telstar4-2Go Ahead Eagles
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar?
Our model gives 1 · Go Ahead Eagles a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Go Ahead Eagles win 48 %, draw 25 %, Telstar win 26 %.
What is the most likely score for Go Ahead Eagles – Telstar?
The most likely score is 2-1, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.