Sochaux
Annecy
Sochaux – Annecy
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 36 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.23 – 1.23
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44 %
- Both teams to score
- 50 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Sochaux at home (36 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.23 goals for Sochaux and 1.23 for Annecy. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 42 %. Over their last five matches, Sochaux took 6 points and Annecy 6 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Sochaux, 0 draws, 1 win for Annecy. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sochaux | 2.20 | 42 % | -21.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.20 | 29 % | -7.6 % |
| 2Annecy | 3.25 | 29 % | +15.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sochaux
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Annecy
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Sochaux
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Annecy
- Sochaux5-1Annecy
- Annecy2-1Sochaux
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Sochaux – Annecy?
Our model gives 1 · Sochaux a 36 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sochaux win 36 %, draw 29 %, Annecy win 35 %.
What is the most likely score for Sochaux – Annecy?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.