Cepheus Park Randers
Randers FC
Brøndby IF
Randers FC – Brøndby IF
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 42 %
- Most likely score
- 0-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.19 – 1.54
- Over 2.5 goals
- 51 %
- Both teams to score
- 55 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Brøndby IF away from home (42 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.19 goals for Randers FC and 1.54 for Brøndby IF. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 48 %. Over their last five matches, Randers FC took 4 points and Brøndby IF 3 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Randers FC, 2 draws, 2 wins for Brøndby IF. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 55 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Randers FC | 3.50 | 27 % | +1.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | +6.9 % |
| 2Brøndby IF | 1.95 | 48 % | -17.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Randers FC
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Brøndby IF
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Randers FC
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Brøndby IF
- Brøndby IF0-3Randers FC
- Brøndby IF0-0Randers FC
- Randers FC0-2Brøndby IF
- Randers FC0-0Brøndby IF
- Brøndby IF4-3Randers FC
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Randers FC – Brøndby IF?
Our model gives 2 · Brøndby IF a 42 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Randers FC win 29 %, draw 28 %, Brøndby IF win 42 %.
What is the most likely score for Randers FC – Brøndby IF?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.