SV Darmstadt 98
St. Pauli
SV Darmstadt 98 – St. Pauli
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 22, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 37 %
- Most likely score
- 1-29 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.40 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54 %
- Both teams to score
- 58 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards St. Pauli away from home (37 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.40 goals for SV Darmstadt 98 and 1.46 for St. Pauli. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 43 %. Over their last five matches, SV Darmstadt 98 took 6 points and St. Pauli 9 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for SV Darmstadt 98, 1 draw, 2 wins for St. Pauli. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 58 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SV Darmstadt 98 | 3.10 | 30 % | +7.8 % |
| XDraw | 3.45 | 27 % | -1.6 % |
| 2St. Pauli | 2.20 | 43 % | -19.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
SV Darmstadt 98
- Last 5 matches
- At home
St. Pauli
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- SV Darmstadt 98
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- St. Pauli
- SV Darmstadt 980-3St. Pauli
- St. Pauli1-1SV Darmstadt 98
- St. Pauli1-2SV Darmstadt 98
- SV Darmstadt 984-0St. Pauli
- St. Pauli3-2SV Darmstadt 98
Frequently asked questions
Who will win SV Darmstadt 98 – St. Pauli?
Our model gives 2 · St. Pauli a 37 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SV Darmstadt 98 win 35 %, draw 29 %, St. Pauli win 37 %.
What is the most likely score for SV Darmstadt 98 – St. Pauli?
The most likely score is 1-2, at 9 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.