Sevilla
1-0
Valencia
Sevilla – Valencia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.32 – 1.07
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia. The model predicted a win for Sevilla (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.32 goals for Sevilla and 1.07 for Valencia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, Sevilla took 7 points and Valencia 4 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Sevilla, 3 draws, 2 wins for Valencia. Over 2.5 goals: 43 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Sevilla | 1.80 | 53 % | -27.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | +7.2 % |
| 2Valencia | 4.90 | 20 % | +44.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Sevilla
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Valencia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Sevilla
- 3 draws
- 2 wins
- Valencia
- Sevilla0-2Valencia
- Valencia1-1Sevilla
- Valencia1-0Sevilla
- Sevilla1-1Valencia
- Valencia0-0Sevilla
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Sevilla – Valencia?
Final score: Sevilla 1-0 Valencia. The model predicted a win for Sevilla (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Sevilla – Valencia?
Our model gives 1 · Sevilla a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Sevilla win 40 %, draw 30 %, Valencia win 29 %.