Pisa
1-4
Virtus Entella
Pisa – Virtus Entella
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.54 – 0.98
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella. The model predicted a win for Pisa (47 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.54 goals for Pisa and 0.98 for Virtus Entella. Bookmakers say the same thing: 51 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Pisa took 7 points and Virtus Entella 5 points. Over 2.5 goals: 46 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Pisa | 1.83 | 51 % | -13.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -7.1 % |
| 2Virtus Entella | 4.50 | 21 % | +8.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Pisa
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Virtus Entella
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Pisa – Virtus Entella?
Final score: Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella. The model predicted a win for Pisa (47 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Pisa – Virtus Entella?
Our model gives 1 · Pisa a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Pisa win 47 %, draw 29 %, Virtus Entella win 24 %.