Benevento
3-1
Hellas Verona
Benevento – Hellas Verona
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.37 – 1.26
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Benevento 3-1 Hellas Verona. The model predicted a win for Benevento (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.37 goals for Benevento and 1.26 for Hellas Verona. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 35 %. Over their last five matches, Benevento took 4 points and Hellas Verona 8 points. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Benevento | 2.66 | 35 % | +6.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.15 | 30 % | -10.7 % |
| 2Hellas Verona | 2.64 | 35 % | -16.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Benevento
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Hellas Verona
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Benevento – Hellas Verona?
Final score: Benevento 3-1 Hellas Verona. The model predicted a win for Benevento (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Benevento – Hellas Verona?
Our model gives 1 · Benevento a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Benevento win 40 %, draw 28 %, Hellas Verona win 32 %.