Predictions are closed for this match.
West Ham United
09:00 PM
Sep 11
Wrexham
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1West Ham United | 1.48 | 63 % | -3.9 % |
| XDraw | 4.40 | 21 % | -10.5 % |
| 2Wrexham | 6.13 | 15 % | -9.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
West Ham United
Wrexham
| West Ham United | Form and statistics | Wrexham |
|---|---|---|
| 1632 | Elo | 1506 |
| 2.50 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded / match | 1.10 |
| 15.3 | Shots / match | 12.6 |
| 60 % | Win rate | 20 % |
| 3 | Rest days | 3 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · West Ham United a 65 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: West Ham United win 65 %, draw 20 %, Wrexham win 15 %.
The most likely score is 2-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 59 %, and both teams scoring at 54 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.48 for West Ham United, 4.40 for the draw, 6.13 for Wrexham.
Kick-off is scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:00 PM (Championship), at London Stadium.
The model leans towards West Ham United at home (65 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.12 goals for West Ham United and 0.94 for Wrexham. Bookmakers say the same thing: 63 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, West Ham United took 13 points and Wrexham 6 points. Over 2.5 goals: 59 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
Nobody has voted yet. Be the first.
