Stade Rennais
1-0
Marseille
Stade Rennais – Marseille
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 48 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.81 – 1.32
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Stade Rennais 1-0 Marseille. The model predicted a win for Stade Rennais (48 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.81 goals for Stade Rennais and 1.32 for Marseille. Bookmakers say the same thing: 48 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Stade Rennais took 10 points and Marseille 9 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Stade Rennais, 0 draws, 4 wins for Marseille. Over 2.5 goals: 61 %. Both teams to score: 62 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Stade Rennais | 1.98 | 48 % | -5.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -9.9 % |
| 2Marseille | 3.50 | 27 % | +1.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Stade Rennais
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Marseille
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Stade Rennais
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- Marseille
- Marseille3-1Stade Rennais
- Marseille3-0Stade Rennais
- Stade Rennais1-0Marseille
- Marseille4-2Stade Rennais
- Stade Rennais1-2Marseille
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Stade Rennais – Marseille?
Final score: Stade Rennais 1-0 Marseille. The model predicted a win for Stade Rennais (48 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Stade Rennais – Marseille?
Our model gives 1 · Stade Rennais a 48 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Stade Rennais win 48 %, draw 23 %, Marseille win 29 %.