Al Hazem
Al Fayha
Al Hazem – Al Fayha
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 43 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.48 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50 %
- Both teams to score
- 54 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Al Hazem at home (43 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.48 goals for Al Hazem and 1.18 for Al Fayha. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Al Hazem took 4 points and Al Fayha 2 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Al Hazem, 1 draw, 1 win for Al Fayha. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Al Hazem | 2.30 | 41 % | -1.2 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -3.3 % |
| 2Al Fayha | 3.05 | 31 % | -14.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Al Hazem
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Al Fayha
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Al Hazem
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Al Fayha
- Al Hazem2-0Al Fayha
- Al Fayha0-0Al Hazem
- Al Hazem1-3Al Fayha
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Al Hazem – Al Fayha?
Our model gives 1 · Al Hazem a 43 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Al Hazem win 43 %, draw 29 %, Al Fayha win 28 %.
What is the most likely score for Al Hazem – Al Fayha?
The most likely score is 1-0, at 10 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.