Puebla
Monterrey
Puebla – Monterrey
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 46 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.10 – 1.51
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Puebla 1-4 Monterrey. The model predicted a win for Monterrey (46 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.10 goals for Puebla and 1.51 for Monterrey. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 53 %. Over their last five matches, Puebla took 3 points and Monterrey 8 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Puebla, 1 draw, 4 wins for Monterrey. Over 2.5 goals: 48 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Puebla | 4.20 | 23 % | +8.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.80 | 25 % | +6.9 % |
| 2Monterrey | 1.80 | 53 % | -17.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Puebla
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Monterrey
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Puebla
- 1 draw
- 4 wins
- Monterrey
- Monterrey2-1Puebla
- Puebla2-4Monterrey
- Monterrey1-1Puebla
- Puebla1-2Monterrey
- Monterrey2-0Puebla
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Puebla – Monterrey?
Final score: Puebla 1-4 Monterrey. The model predicted a win for Monterrey (46 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Puebla – Monterrey?
Our model gives 2 · Monterrey a 46 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Puebla win 26 %, draw 28 %, Monterrey win 46 %.