Atlas
América
Atlas – América
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 47 %
- Most likely score
- 1-210 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.27 – 1.76
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Atlas 2-5 América. The model predicted a win for América (47 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-2. It expects 1.27 goals for Atlas and 1.76 for América. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Atlas took 8 points and América 8 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Atlas, 0 draws, 4 wins for América. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 60 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Atlas | 3.35 | 28 % | -11.1 % |
| XDraw | 3.70 | 26 % | -2.7 % |
| 2América | 2.05 | 46 % | -3.3 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Atlas
- Last 5 matches
- At home
América
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Atlas
- 0 draws
- 4 wins
- América
- América0-1Atlas
- Atlas2-4América
- Atlas1-3América
- América3-0Atlas
- Atlas1-5América
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Atlas – América?
Final score: Atlas 2-5 América. The model predicted a win for América (47 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Atlas – América?
Our model gives 2 · América a 47 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Atlas win 27 %, draw 26 %, América win 47 %.