Palmeiras
Fluminense
Palmeiras – Fluminense
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 66 %
- Most likely score
- 2-012 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.00 – 0.82
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense. The model predicted a win for Palmeiras (66 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 2.00 goals for Palmeiras and 0.82 for Fluminense. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Palmeiras took 13 points and Fluminense 6 points. In recent meetings: 3 wins for Palmeiras, 1 draw, 1 win for Fluminense. Over 2.5 goals: 54 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Palmeiras | 2.00 | 47 % | +31.5 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 29 % | -33.8 % |
| 2Fluminense | 4.00 | 24 % | -44.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Palmeiras
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Fluminense
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 3 wins
- Palmeiras
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Fluminense
- Fluminense1-2Palmeiras
- Fluminense3-2Palmeiras
- Palmeiras2-1Fluminense
- Palmeiras0-0Fluminense
- Fluminense1-2Palmeiras
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Palmeiras – Fluminense?
Final score: Palmeiras 0-1 Fluminense. The model predicted a win for Palmeiras (66 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Palmeiras – Fluminense?
Our model gives 1 · Palmeiras a 66 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Palmeiras win 66 %, draw 20 %, Fluminense win 14 %.