Montevideo City Torque
Atlético-MG
Montevideo City Torque – Atlético-MG
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 39 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.12 – 1.31
The short version
Final score: Montevideo City Torque 2-0 Atlético-MG. The model predicted a win for Atlético-MG (39 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.12 goals for Montevideo City Torque and 1.31 for Atlético-MG. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Montevideo City Torque took 9 points and Atlético-MG 13 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Montevideo City Torque, 0 draws, 1 win for Atlético-MG. Over 2.5 goals: 44 %. Both teams to score: 50 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Montevideo City Torque | 3.15 | 30 % | +0.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.30 | 29 % | -3.4 % |
| 2Atlético-MG | 2.30 | 41 % | -10.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Montevideo City Torque
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Atlético-MG
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Montevideo City Torque
- 0 draws
- 1 win
- Atlético-MG
- Atlético-MG3-0Montevideo City Torque
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Montevideo City Torque – Atlético-MG?
Final score: Montevideo City Torque 2-0 Atlético-MG. The model predicted a win for Atlético-MG (39 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Montevideo City Torque – Atlético-MG?
Our model gives 2 · Atlético-MG a 39 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Montevideo City Torque win 32 %, draw 29 %, Atlético-MG win 39 %.