Tigres UANL
León
Tigres UANL – León
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20261001-0205, Oct 20, 07:01 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 60 %
- Most likely score
- 2-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.94 – 1.00
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Tigres UANL 0-2 León. The model predicted a win for Tigres UANL (60 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-0. It expects 1.94 goals for Tigres UANL and 1.00 for León. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 51 %. Over their last five matches, Tigres UANL took 8 points and León 8 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Tigres UANL, 2 draws, 1 win for León. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Tigres UANL | 1.83 | 51 % | +10.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.75 | 25 % | -19.5 % |
| 2León | 4.00 | 24 % | -26.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Tigres UANL
- Last 5 matches
- At home
León
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Tigres UANL
- 2 draws
- 1 win
- León
- León1-2Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL0-0León
- León1-0Tigres UANL
- Tigres UANL2-2León
- León1-2Tigres UANL
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Tigres UANL – León?
Final score: Tigres UANL 0-2 León. The model predicted a win for Tigres UANL (60 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Tigres UANL – León?
Our model gives 1 · Tigres UANL a 60 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Tigres UANL win 60 %, draw 21 %, León win 18 %.