Predictions are closed for this match.
Dijon FCO
08:00 PM
Sep 11
Stade Laval
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Dijon FCO | 1.98 | 46 % | -2.0 % |
| XDraw | 3.33 | 28 % | -10.3 % |
| 2Stade Laval | 3.52 | 26 % | -17.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Dijon FCO
Stade Laval
| Dijon FCO | Form and statistics | Stade Laval |
|---|---|---|
| 1504 | Elo | 1420 |
| 1.20 | Goals scored / match | 1.10 |
| 1.10 | Goals conceded / match | 1.70 |
| 12.5 | Shots / match | 10.4 |
| 20 % | Win rate | 30 % |
| 7 | Rest days | 7 |
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
Our model gives 1 · Dijon FCO a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Dijon FCO win 50 %, draw 27 %, Stade Laval win 24 %.
The most likely score is 1-0, at 12 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
The model puts the probability of over 2.5 goals at 45 %, and both teams scoring at 49 %.
Bookmaker average with the margin removed: 1.98 for Dijon FCO, 3.33 for the draw, 3.52 for Stade Laval.
Kick-off is scheduled for Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (Ligue 2), at Stade Gaston-Gérard.
The model leans towards Dijon FCO at home (50 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.49 goals for Dijon FCO and 0.98 for Stade Laval. Bookmakers say the same thing: 46 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Dijon FCO took 3 points and Stade Laval 4 points. Over 2.5 goals: 45 %. Both teams to score: 49 %.
The three 1/X/2 breakdowns side by side.
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