Internazionale
Shakhtar Donetsk
Internazionale – Shakhtar Donetsk
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 82 %
- Most likely score
- 3-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 3.10 – 0.80
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Internazionale 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk. The model predicted a win for Internazionale (82 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 3-0. It expects 3.10 goals for Internazionale and 0.80 for Shakhtar Donetsk. Bookmakers say the same thing: 79 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Internazionale took 10 points and Shakhtar Donetsk 5 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Internazionale, 3 draws, 0 wins for Shakhtar Donetsk. Over 2.5 goals: 75 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Internazionale | 1.20 | 79 % | -1.4 % |
| XDraw | 7.25 | 13 % | -23.9 % |
| 2Shakhtar Donetsk | 12.50 | 8 % | -7.9 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Internazionale
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Shakhtar Donetsk
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Internazionale
- 3 draws
- 0 wins
- Shakhtar Donetsk
- Internazionale2-0Shakhtar Donetsk
- Shakhtar Donetsk0-0Internazionale
- Internazionale0-0Shakhtar Donetsk
- Shakhtar Donetsk0-0Internazionale
- Internazionale5-0Shakhtar Donetsk
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Internazionale – Shakhtar Donetsk?
Final score: Internazionale 1-0 Shakhtar Donetsk. The model predicted a win for Internazionale (82 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Internazionale – Shakhtar Donetsk?
Our model gives 1 · Internazionale a 82 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Internazionale win 82 %, draw 11 %, Shakhtar Donetsk win 7 %.