Bayern Munich
Arsenal
Bayern Munich – Arsenal
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 58 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 2.33 – 1.19
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal. The model predicted a win for Bayern Munich (58 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 2.33 goals for Bayern Munich and 1.19 for Arsenal. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Bayern Munich took 11 points and Arsenal 12 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Bayern Munich, 1 draw, 1 win for Arsenal. Over 2.5 goals: 68 %. Both teams to score: 63 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Bayern Munich | 2.02 | 47 % | +18.4 % |
| XDraw | 3.85 | 25 % | -14.0 % |
| 2Arsenal | 3.33 | 29 % | -36.2 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Bayern Munich
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Arsenal
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Bayern Munich
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Arsenal
- Arsenal3-1Bayern Munich
- Bayern Munich1-0Arsenal
- Arsenal2-2Bayern Munich
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Bayern Munich – Arsenal?
Final score: Bayern Munich 2-2 Arsenal. The model predicted a win for Bayern Munich (58 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Bayern Munich – Arsenal?
Our model gives 1 · Bayern Munich a 58 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Bayern Munich win 58 %, draw 22 %, Arsenal win 19 %.