Lille
Galatasaray
Lille – Galatasaray
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 2-110 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.72 – 1.18
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Lille 2-4 Galatasaray. The model predicted a win for Lille (50 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.72 goals for Lille and 1.18 for Galatasaray. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, Lille took 7 points and Galatasaray 9 points. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 57 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Lille | 2.17 | 44 % | +9.7 % |
| XDraw | 3.73 | 26 % | -19.5 % |
| 2Galatasaray | 3.13 | 31 % | -12.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Lille
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Galatasaray
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Lille – Galatasaray?
Final score: Lille 2-4 Galatasaray. The model predicted a win for Lille (50 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Lille – Galatasaray?
Our model gives 1 · Lille a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Lille win 50 %, draw 22 %, Galatasaray win 28 %.