Como
Manchester United
Como – Manchester United
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 21, 03:05 AM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 40 %
- Most likely score
- 2-19 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.58 – 1.44
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Como 4-1 Manchester United. The model predicted a win for Como (40 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 2-1. It expects 1.58 goals for Como and 1.44 for Manchester United. Bookmakers say the same thing: 44 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Como took 7 points and Manchester United 3 points. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 61 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Como | 2.17 | 44 % | -13.6 % |
| XDraw | 3.83 | 25 % | -13.8 % |
| 2Manchester United | 3.05 | 31 % | +15.1 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Como
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Manchester United
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Como – Manchester United?
Final score: Como 4-1 Manchester United. The model predicted a win for Como (40 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Como – Manchester United?
Our model gives 1 · Como a 40 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Como win 40 %, draw 23 %, Manchester United win 38 %.