AS Nancy Lorraine
08:00 PM
Sep 11
Stade de Reims
AS Nancy Lorraine – Stade de Reims
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.10 – 1.46
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards Stade de Reims away from home (45 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.10 goals for AS Nancy Lorraine and 1.46 for Stade de Reims. Bookmakers say the same thing: 43 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, AS Nancy Lorraine took 7 points and Stade de Reims 9 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for AS Nancy Lorraine, 1 draw, 1 win for Stade de Reims. Over 2.5 goals: 47 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1AS Nancy Lorraine | 3.20 | 29 % | -11.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.25 | 28 % | -11.7 % |
| 2Stade de Reims | 2.15 | 43 % | -2.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
AS Nancy Lorraine
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Stade de Reims
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| AS Nancy Lorraine | Form and statistics | Stade de Reims |
|---|---|---|
| 1436 | Elo | 1587 |
| 1.30 | Goals scored / match | 2.40 |
| 1.30 | Goals conceded / match | 1.60 |
| 10.9 | Shots / match | 11.2 |
| 40 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- AS Nancy Lorraine
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Stade de Reims
- Stade de Reims1-1AS Nancy Lorraine
- AS Nancy Lorraine0-1Stade de Reims
Frequently asked questions
Who will win AS Nancy Lorraine – Stade de Reims?
Our model gives 2 · Stade de Reims a 45 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: AS Nancy Lorraine win 28 %, draw 27 %, Stade de Reims win 45 %.
What is the most likely score for AS Nancy Lorraine – Stade de Reims?
The most likely score is 0-1, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
