V-Varen Nagasaki
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
V-Varen Nagasaki – Sanfrecce Hiroshima
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 20, 07:05 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 61 %
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.90 – 2.01
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The model predicted a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (61 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.90 goals for V-Varen Nagasaki and 2.01 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bookmakers say the same thing: 64 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, V-Varen Nagasaki took 5 points and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 12 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for V-Varen Nagasaki, 0 draws, 2 wins for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Over 2.5 goals: 56 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1V-Varen Nagasaki | 5.75 | 16 % | -7.8 % |
| XDraw | 4.80 | 20 % | +8.6 % |
| 2Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1.47 | 64 % | -9.8 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
V-Varen Nagasaki
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- V-Varen Nagasaki
- 0 draws
- 2 wins
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima2-0V-Varen Nagasaki
- V-Varen Nagasaki1-3Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of V-Varen Nagasaki – Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Final score: V-Varen Nagasaki 4-0 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. The model predicted a win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima (61 %): missed prediction.