Shimizu S-Pulse
Machida Zelvia
Shimizu S-Pulse – Machida Zelvia
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 20, 07:05 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 50 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.04 – 1.58
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-5 Machida Zelvia. The model predicted a win for Machida Zelvia (50 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.04 goals for Shimizu S-Pulse and 1.58 for Machida Zelvia. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 44 %. Over their last five matches, Shimizu S-Pulse took 10 points and Machida Zelvia 10 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for Shimizu S-Pulse, 1 draw, 1 win for Machida Zelvia. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Shimizu S-Pulse | 3.35 | 28 % | -23.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.35 | 28 % | -7.8 % |
| 2Machida Zelvia | 2.15 | 44 % | +6.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Shimizu S-Pulse
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Machida Zelvia
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- Shimizu S-Pulse
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- Machida Zelvia
- Machida Zelvia3-0Shimizu S-Pulse
- Shimizu S-Pulse2-2Machida Zelvia
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Shimizu S-Pulse – Machida Zelvia?
Final score: Shimizu S-Pulse 0-5 Machida Zelvia. The model predicted a win for Machida Zelvia (50 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Shimizu S-Pulse – Machida Zelvia?
Our model gives 2 · Machida Zelvia a 50 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Shimizu S-Pulse win 23 %, draw 28 %, Machida Zelvia win 50 %.