Nagoya Grampus
Cerezo Osaka
Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 20, 07:05 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 44 %
- Most likely score
- 1-010 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.50 – 1.18
The short version
Final score: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Cerezo Osaka. The model predicted a win for Nagoya Grampus (44 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.50 goals for Nagoya Grampus and 1.18 for Cerezo Osaka. Bookmakers say the same thing: 41 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Nagoya Grampus took 6 points and Cerezo Osaka 3 points. In recent meetings: 2 wins for Nagoya Grampus, 1 draw, 2 wins for Cerezo Osaka. Over 2.5 goals: 50 %. Both teams to score: 54 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Nagoya Grampus | 2.30 | 41 % | +0.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -5.7 % |
| 2Cerezo Osaka | 2.90 | 32 % | -13.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Nagoya Grampus
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Cerezo Osaka
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 2 wins
- Nagoya Grampus
- 1 draw
- 2 wins
- Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka6-1Nagoya Grampus
- Nagoya Grampus3-0Cerezo Osaka
- Nagoya Grampus2-1Cerezo Osaka
- Cerezo Osaka1-1Nagoya Grampus
- Cerezo Osaka2-1Nagoya Grampus
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka?
Final score: Nagoya Grampus 1-1 Cerezo Osaka. The model predicted a win for Nagoya Grampus (44 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Nagoya Grampus – Cerezo Osaka?
Our model gives 1 · Nagoya Grampus a 44 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Nagoya Grampus win 44 %, draw 27 %, Cerezo Osaka win 30 %.