Kyoto Sanga
Kashima Antlers
Kyoto Sanga – Kashima Antlers
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 20, 07:05 PM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- 54 %
- Most likely score
- 0-111 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.02 – 1.71
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashima Antlers. The model predicted a win for Kashima Antlers (54 %): missed prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-1. It expects 1.02 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 1.71 for Kashima Antlers. Bookmakers disagree: they give that outcome 47 %. Over their last five matches, Kyoto Sanga took 6 points and Kashima Antlers 13 points. In recent meetings: 1 win for Kyoto Sanga, 2 draws, 2 wins for Kashima Antlers. Over 2.5 goals: 51 %. Both teams to score: 53 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Kyoto Sanga | 3.60 | 26 % | -28.3 % |
| XDraw | 3.55 | 27 % | -9.1 % |
| 2Kashima Antlers | 2.00 | 47 % | +9.0 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Kyoto Sanga
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Kashima Antlers
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
- 1 win
- Kyoto Sanga
- 2 draws
- 2 wins
- Kashima Antlers
- Kyoto Sanga1-1Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers3-4Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga0-0Kashima Antlers
- Kashima Antlers1-0Kyoto Sanga
- Kyoto Sanga0-2Kashima Antlers
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Kyoto Sanga – Kashima Antlers?
Final score: Kyoto Sanga 2-2 Kashima Antlers. The model predicted a win for Kashima Antlers (54 %): missed prediction.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga – Kashima Antlers?
Our model gives 2 · Kashima Antlers a 54 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Kyoto Sanga win 20 %, draw 26 %, Kashima Antlers win 54 %.