SV Josko Ried
07:30 PM
Sep 11
RB Salzburg
SV Josko Ried – RB Salzburg
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v2-20260920-1817, Sep 22, 06:43 AM.
- Predicted result
- 2Away win
- Confidence
- Most likely score
- 0-211 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 0.90 – 2.11
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58 %
- Both teams to score
- 52 %
The score shown is the most likely one among those matching the predicted result, not the rounded xG: with 1.83 – 1.24 expected goals and a home win predicted, that is 1-0. 1-1, the single most frequent score overall, only appears when a draw is predicted.
The short version
The model leans towards RB Salzburg away from home (64 %). The most likely score among those producing that result is 0-2. It expects 0.90 goals for SV Josko Ried and 2.11 for RB Salzburg. Bookmakers say the same thing: 63 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, SV Josko Ried took 4 points and RB Salzburg 15 points. In recent meetings: 0 wins for SV Josko Ried, 1 draw, 1 win for RB Salzburg. Over 2.5 goals: 58 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of 2 bookmakers, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | EdgeModel edge |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1SV Josko Ried | 5.75 | 16 % | -17.0 % |
| XDraw | 4.63 | 20 % | -0.2 % |
| 2RB Salzburg | 1.48 | 63 % | -5.6 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the odds pay more than the estimated risk. Only the edge on the predicted outcome counts as a value bet.
Form and statistics
SV Josko Ried
- Last 5 matches
- At home
RB Salzburg
- Last 5 matches
- Away
| SV Josko Ried | Form and statistics | RB Salzburg |
|---|---|---|
| 1445 | Elo | 1648 |
| 1.00 | Goals scored / match | 2.30 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded / match | 0.90 |
| 13.3 | Shots / match | 19.7 |
| 30 % | Win rate |
Head-to-head
- 0 wins
- SV Josko Ried
- 1 draw
- 1 win
- RB Salzburg
- RB Salzburg4-1SV Josko Ried
- SV Josko Ried2-2RB Salzburg
Frequently asked questions
Who will win SV Josko Ried – RB Salzburg?
Our model gives 2 · RB Salzburg a 64 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: SV Josko Ried win 14 %, draw 22 %, RB Salzburg win 64 %.
What is the most likely score for SV Josko Ried – RB Salzburg?
The most likely score is 0-2, at 11 %. It is the most frequent score among those that produce the result the model predicts.
