Fagiano Okayama
Mito Hollyhock
Fagiano Okayama – Mito Hollyhock
What the model says
Probabilities computed by model v3-20261018-0954, Oct 20, 07:05 PM.
- Predicted result
- 1Home win
- Confidence
- 49 %
- Most likely score
- 1-011 % chance
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.60 – 1.03
- Over 2.5 goals
The short version
Final score: Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock. The model predicted a win for Fagiano Okayama (49 %): correct prediction. The most likely score among those producing that result is 1-0. It expects 1.60 goals for Fagiano Okayama and 1.03 for Mito Hollyhock. Bookmakers say the same thing: 54 % on the same outcome. Over their last five matches, Fagiano Okayama took 6 points and Mito Hollyhock 1 point. Over 2.5 goals: 49 %. Both teams to score: 52 %.
What the market says
Average of one bookmaker, margin removed.
| Predicted result | Odds | Implied probability | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1Fagiano Okayama | 1.76 | 54 % | -12.9 % |
| XDraw | 3.65 | 26 % | -0.6 % |
| 2Mito Hollyhock | 4.70 | 20 % | +9.5 % |
Model probability × odds − 1. Positive: the model gives this outcome a better chance than the odds do. A gap is not betting advice.
Form and statistics
Fagiano Okayama
- Last 5 matches
- At home
Mito Hollyhock
- Last 5 matches
Head-to-head
No recent meeting between these two teams.
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Fagiano Okayama – Mito Hollyhock?
Final score: Fagiano Okayama 2-0 Mito Hollyhock. The model predicted a win for Fagiano Okayama (49 %): correct prediction.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama – Mito Hollyhock?
Our model gives 1 · Fagiano Okayama a 49 % probability. The three outcomes split as follows: Fagiano Okayama win 49 %, draw 27 %, Mito Hollyhock win 23 %.